CLA 3.0-THIRTY YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIVE RESEARCH

CLA 3.0-THIRTY YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIVE RESEARCH pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

Sohail Inayatullah
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  • CLA
  • Transformative Research
  • Higher Education
  • Policy Analysis
  • Evaluation
  • Social Impact
  • Research Methods
  • Educational Research
  • Innovation
  • Leadership
  • Public Service
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  In 1992, while presenting at the World Futures Studies Federation course on International Development, I shifted my lecture from the typical rehearsed presentation on factors explaining maldevelopment to a real time unpacking/deconstruction of transportation futures. As I, we, worked through the analysis, alternatives organically emerged.  The four levels were: first, the problem or the litany – congestion and pollution. Second the causes: too many cars and desire for more cars, rising incomes, traditional infrastructure that was not car flow friendly, among other factors. Third, the Big City outlook, westernization, and the "Los Angelization" of the planet. And fourth, West is best with cars as freedom, as individuality. We understood that the government would take a technical approach of creating flyovers and not the deeper required to rethink centre-periphery relations – to decentralize - to reimagine Bangkok as a walkable and green city. This led to a discussion on not just infrastructure redesign but stories around rural areas and the symbol of the car as a symbol of Western power. CLA shifted the discussion from conventional strategies on transport toward alternative futures of mobility, identity, and sustainability.  After a few more attempts at presenting on communication, on disability, on ways knowing the method was born. Theoretically, of course, I was standing on the works of the greats: P.R. Sarkar, Johan Galtung, William Irwin Thompson, Joseph Campbell and from insights from professors and colleagues such as James Dator, Michael Shapiro, and Richard Slaughter.

  In the CLA Reader published in 2004, we compiled articles on the method to gain academic respectability. Doctoral students would email me and say, they wanted to write their thesis on CLA but their professors were suspicious. By 2015, when CLA 2.0 was released, we had documented hundreds of additional case studies. Professor were no longer suspicious, indeed, many enthusiastic. The method by that time had been used by thirty plus national governments, dozens of international organizations, hundreds of businesses and community organizations, and thousands of individuals.

  With CLA 3.0, we have moved from planting seeds about a new method, to nurturing young trees, to watching a true forest of transformative and critical futures research. The forest true to the iceberg image that has been linked to CLA is not just on land but in the ocean as well.

  My own work in the area has somewhat changed. Along with projects using CLA on the external world, for example, in the past few months, with FAO, Australia Prudential Residential Authority, Mitsubishi Motors, WHO, the Pacific Community, the Razak School of Government, LEGO, UNESCAP, more and more I insist that participants in workshops also focus on the CLA of the self. This has become especially important with the rise in anxiety from COVID and the invasion of Ukraine. The inner work leads not only to the reflective practitioner but ensures epistemological mindfulness. We enter the room aware that we are part of the problem or solution, that our stories can help or hurt. CLA of the self, for me, is a way to help others find ways out of current predicaments. For example, just recently with colleagues in Shanghai stuck from the long lockdown, we worked together to shift the core metaphor from "the prison" to "painting the prison" and from a "lone firefly to a ray of light" connecting with other rays. An educational leader working with the disadvantaged used CLA  recently to develop the new story he wished to tell his community of students, teachers, and parents.  While he understood the reality of admiring the problem, after the CLA workshop, he changed his focus from the victim to the champion. When I suggested that the narrative of the champion might be a step to far, he added an intermediate narrative shift: getting in the game. These storis assist in expanding agency, in helping us create more desirable futures. The stories as with external CLA need to link to systemic changes as well, and when possible, new measures of success.  The question I ask organizations as they develop their new narrative is who are you in the story? Thus, it is not about changing others per se but how about finding a voice, a role for oneself in a changing world. With one large group, their new story was a flotilla of canoes. I then asked participants, who were they in the flotilla? One said, the navigator, another the one who painted the canoes, a third, the one who found dollars for canoe maintenance. The story thus connected all. CLA, for me, is not about strategic foresight but transformational futures. We are in the universe not as objective change agents but as characters (often pre-scripted and used) with the possibility of inner and outer transformation, of co-creating alternative futures.  Depth assists us in moving from technical litany systemic fixes to longer term worldview and narrative shifts.

  This book can be read from the position of theories of knowledge, as methodology, as case studies, or as part of one's individual journey. I can only recommend that you work from multiple positions, and, of course, work at all four levels.  While CLA 2.0 was a partnership between me and Director of Metafuture, Dr. Ivana Milojević, we are fortunate to now have Drs. John Sweeney and Ralph Mercer as fellow collaborators on this inner and outer, land and ocean voyage.
《无垠的探索:跨越世纪的科学与人文之旅》 一、 序言:时代的交汇点 本书是一部横跨多个学科领域的宏大叙事,旨在梳理自二十世纪初以来,人类在自然科学、社会科学、哲学思辨以及艺术创作领域所取得的里程碑式成就。我们身处一个知识爆炸的时代,信息的碎片化倾向常常使人难以把握宏观图景。因此,《无垠的探索》试图搭建一座桥梁,连接那些看似孤立的研究分支,揭示它们之间深刻的内在联系和相互启发的机制。 本书的叙事逻辑并非严格按照时间顺序展开,而是以核心思想和研究范式的变迁为轴线,引导读者进行一场跨越学科边界的深度漫游。我们相信,真正的突破往往发生在学科的边缘地带,在那些不同知识体系相互碰撞、融合之处。 二、 科学的革命与范式转移 第一部分:微观世界的重塑——物理学与化学的深刻变革 我们将从二十世纪初的物理学革命开始。爱因斯坦的相对论彻底颠覆了牛顿时代对时空的基本认知,而量子力学的诞生则将我们带入了一个充满不确定性和概率性的微观世界。本书将详细探讨普朗克、玻尔、海森堡等巨匠的贡献,分析量子场论的建立如何为粒子物理学奠定了基础,并讨论标准模型的建立及其面对暗物质和暗能量挑战时的局限性。 在化学领域,分子结构和化学键理论的深入理解,推动了有机合成化学的飞速发展。我们将回顾从有机化学到材料科学的演变,重点分析新型催化剂的设计原理,以及其在可持续能源和环保技术中的应用潜力。特别关注在合成生物学领域,化学原理如何与生命科学深度融合,催生出全新的工程化生命系统的可能性。 第二部分:生命的奥秘与基因的语言——生物学的宏大叙事 生物学是本书着墨最多的部分之一。从孟德尔的遗传定律到沃森和克里克对DNA双螺旋结构的发现,人类对生命本质的理解进入了一个全新的阶段。本书深入剖析了分子生物学的核心概念,如基因表达调控、蛋白质折叠的复杂性。 随后,我们将聚焦于基因组学时代的来临。人类基因组计划的完成标志着一个时代的结束,同时也开启了功能基因组学、蛋白质组学以及代谢组学的广阔前景。我们探讨了基因编辑技术(如CRISPR-Cas9)带来的巨大潜力与随之而来的伦理困境。此外,我们还将考察进化生物学如何通过整合古生物学、遗传学和生态学数据,构建出更为精细的生命演化树。 三、 人类社会的复杂性与行为的解码 第三部分:心智的疆域——心理学与神经科学的前沿 人类心智是宇宙中最迷人的谜团之一。本书将回顾弗洛伊德的精神分析理论的遗产,并将其置于现代认知科学的语境下进行重新审视。认知心理学如何通过实验方法揭示记忆、注意力和决策制定的机制?我们将详细阐述连接大脑结构与功能的核心技术,例如功能性磁共振成像(fMRI)和脑电图(EEG)的最新应用,以及它们如何帮助我们理解意识的起源。 行为经济学和决策理论的发展,挑战了传统经济学中“理性人”的假设。通过对启发式偏差、损失厌恶等非理性行为模式的分析,本书试图提供一个更贴近现实的人类行为模型。 第四部分:社会结构的动态演化——社会学与人类学的洞察 社会学和人类学为我们提供了理解人类群体的工具。本书考察了从韦伯的理性化理论到福柯的权力/知识分析的理论演进。我们特别关注全球化进程对传统社会结构、身份认同和文化多样性的冲击与重塑。 在全球数字化浪潮下,社交网络分析和大数据方法正在改变社会学研究的范式。我们探讨了大规模数据如何被用于识别社会网络中的关键节点、信息传播的路径,以及社会动员的潜在模式。人类学则通过深入的民族志研究,强调了文化相对论的重要性,批判了普世主义的陷阱,并探讨了地方知识在全球治理中的价值。 四、 哲学的反思与艺术的表达 第五部分:意义的追寻——当代哲学思辨 技术进步和社会变迁总是伴随着深刻的哲学反思。《无垠的探索》不会回避形而上学的基本问题,但会更侧重于分析哲学和实践哲学的应用。我们将探讨语言哲学对逻辑学和计算机科学的深远影响,以及现象学如何为理解主体经验提供了独特的视角。 人工智能的崛起,尤其引发了关于“何为人性”、“何为心智”的深刻争论。本书分析了功能主义、同一性理论在面对强人工智能时的挑战。同时,环境伦理学和技术哲学也占据了重要篇幅,探讨人类在改造自然和技术发展中的责任边界。 第六部分:形式的自由与表达的边界——艺术与媒介的转型 艺术是对人类体验的最高级提炼。本书将艺术史置于社会文化变迁的大背景下考察。从现代主义对传统形式的颠覆,到后现代主义对宏大叙事的解构,艺术始终是时代精神的晴雨表。 数字媒体的普及极大地改变了艺术的生产、传播和消费模式。本书分析了虚拟现实(VR)、增强现实(AR)技术在艺术创作中的应用,探讨了“可互动性”如何重塑观众与作品的关系。我们还将审视数字时代的审美经验,以及算法推荐系统对文化品味的潜移默化的影响。 五、 结论:面向未知的融合与整合 《无垠的探索》总结认为,二十一世纪的研究趋势日益呈现出跨学科和系统化的特征。无论是应对气候变化、流行病控制,还是理解人类的复杂行为,任何单一学科都无法提供全面的解决方案。未来的知识进步将高度依赖于不同领域专家的有效对话与知识的深度融合。本书最终希望激发读者,以更广阔的视野去审视我们所处的这个复杂而迷人的世界,并以探索者的精神迎接前方的无限可能。

著者信息

作者簡介

Sohail Inayatullah


  蘇哈爾博士為全球前2%頂尖科學家,目前為教設系之境外訪問研究員。多層次因果分析不僅可以用來解構未來,還可以用來重構未來,為人類面臨的複雜問題創造整體世界觀和敘述性的解決方案。前次本校出版蘇哈爾博士專書為2015年,此次為蘇哈爾博士針對未來學方法做更進階的學理及方法提供,希冀可以由本校出版,對本校未來化工作做貢獻及享譽國際未來學群體。

图书目录

Table of Contents
Foreword    5
CREATING THE FOREST OF TRANSFORMATIONAL FUTURES:    5
THIRTY YEARS OF CLA    5
About the Editors    7
Preface    8
Ivana Milojević    8
THEORY    13
Sohail Inayatullah, Causal Layered Analysis: Theory, Conceptual Framework, and Method    14
DISCIPLINARY AND METHODOLOGICAL REFLECTIONS:    30
Veli Virmajok, Understanding Futures of Science: Connecting Causal Layered Analysis and Philosophy of Science    31
Russell Clements, Using Gregory Bateson’s Epistemology of Mind and Causal Layered Analysis to Mitigate Asian Elephant-human Conflict Risk.    56
Joseph Corneli, Alex Murphy, Raymond S. Puzio, Leo Vivier, Noorah Alhasan, Vitor Bruno, Charlotte Pierce, Charles J. Danoff, Patterns of Patterns: A Methodological Reflection on the Future of Design Patterns Methods.    88
Peter Scupelli, Does When and How Design Students Learn Causal Layered Analysis Matter?    114
Nele Fischer and Konstanti Marquardt, Encounters on the Metaphorical Level: Introducting Systemic Metaphor Analysis for CLA    132
APPLICATIONS:    140
Ivana Milojević, Australian Riot: Causal Layered Analysis for Conflict Resolution    141
Adam Cowart, " Living Between Myth and Metaphor:  Level 4 of Causal Layered Analysis Theorised    154
John A. Sweeney, Not Organic Gardening or Rocket Science: New Metaphors (and a Politics) for Geoengineered Imaginaries.    164
Marcelle Holdaway, Diving in the Deep End: Visually Exploring Community Views on Corporate Accountability.    177
Sanna Ketonen-Oksi, Creating a shared narrative: The use of causal layered analysis to explore ecosystem level value co-creation    191
Peter Sukhorolsky, Russian Aggression Against Ukraine: Past, Present, and Futures    208
Niedbalski, The Hong Kong Protests and Tianxia: The Origins of Modern conceptions of Chinese Identity and the struggle for a different future    218
Marcus Anthony, WWW: Web Wide Warfare Part 2: Towards a Deeper Healing of the Online Culture Wars    237
Elissa Farrow, To Augment Human Capacity – Artificial Intelligence Evolution through Causal Layered Analysis    256
Oluseyi Julius Adbowale and Justus Ngala Agumba, Causal Layered Analysis of Construction Labour Productivity in Developing Countries    273
Lazaro et al., Using CLA to participatively explore the urban solid waste problem in Uruguay: three years after    291
Sterling Jackson, Applying Futures Based Frameworks for Emerging Sector Investments: Applying Causal Layered Analysis to Develop Decision Making Metaphors for Risk Forward Investments    303
Rieta Ganas, Kasturi Behari-Leak, Nalini Chitanand, Siya Sabata, Pedagogies for Critical Agency: Portals to Alternative Futures.    310
Matti Minkkinen, Sirkka Heinonen, and Marjukka Parkkinen, Drilling and Blasting to Learn Scenario Construction – Experimenting with Causal Layered Analysis as a Disruption of Scenario Work    328
Jeanne Hoffman, Imagining 2060: A Cross-Cultural Comparison of University Students’ Perspectives    340
Ali Zackery, Mohsen Taheri Damneh, Alireza Karimi, Maryam Ebadi Nejad: Insights from a Causal Layered Analysis of “Isfahan 2040”: A Participatory Foresight Workshop    359
Chris Riedy, Interior transformation on the pathway to a viable future    377
Ralph Mercer: Self-Writing: A Causal Layered Analysis prospective on the Learning Identity Framework.    392
Glossary    399
Index    400
Bonus material    401
Back material    402


 

图书序言

  • ISBN:9786267032305
  • 規格:平裝 / 564頁 / 19 x 26 x 2.82 cm / 普通級 / 單色印刷 / 初版
  • 出版地:台灣

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這本專著的「3.0」標誌,給我一種強烈的預感:它絕對涵蓋了對過去版本(1.0、2.0)的深刻反思與揚棄。真正的「轉型」,往往意味著徹底的拋棄舊有假設,建立全新的公理體系。我猜想,書中最精采的部分,會是揭示「為什麼舊的CLA模式走不下去了?」這背後一定隱藏著某種重大的、無法迴避的外部變數——也許是計算能力的爆炸性增長,也許是社會結構的根本性變化,迫使研究範式必須升級。這本書或許會用大量的篇幅,對比新舊模型的差異,從根本上解構既有的研究語言。這對讀者來說,既是一種挑戰,也是一種解放。挑戰在於,必須拋棄習慣性的思維定勢;解放則在於,掌握了最新的「元語言」,得以進入更高維度的對話空間。我希望作者的筆觸能夠足夠銳利,敢於直指過去研究的盲點,而不是流於歌功頌德的表面讚美。這樣的自我批判精神,才是真正推動學術進步的動力所在,也是一本「三十年集大成」之作應有的風骨。

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從台灣這邊的角度來看,我們與國際前沿學術的接軌速度一直非常快,但同時也面臨著如何將這些複雜的「轉型性研究」成果,本土化並應用於我們自身的社會與產業結構的挑戰。因此,我非常好奇這本《CLA 3.0》是否對「全球化」與「在地化」之間的拉扯有所著墨。例如,某項在西方成熟的研究方法,當它傳到東亞語境下,在實際操作層面上會遭遇哪些獨特的障礙?書中是否提供了案例,說明「CLA 3.0」在不同文化或制度背景下的調適與優化?如果作者僅僅是羅列了歐美的研究成果,那對我們來說,可能就只是一份遙遠的觀摩報告。但如果它能提供一套「翻譯」或「轉譯」的機制,教導我們如何消化這些國際級的轉型能量,並將之轉化為推動台灣自身發展的動力,那這本書的實用價值就會直線飆升。畢竟,閱讀學術專著,最終還是為了指導實踐。我希望它不只是一份歷史總結,更是一份行動指南。

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說實在的,光是看到「CLA 3.0」這個代號,我就立刻聯想到某種迭代更新的技術標準或是複雜的理論模型,總覺得這背後藏著一套嚴謹的內在邏輯。這本書想必是將過去三十年來,圍繞著這個核心框架所發展出的所有分支、修正、以及跨學科的應用,做了一次全面性的梳理與昇華。我推測,內容可能非常扎實,充斥著大量的數據圖表、複雜的公式推導,甚至是不同學派之間激烈辯論的文獻回顧。對於我們這些習慣於在海量資訊中摸索方向的人來說,這本書或許可以充當一個權威的「導航系統」,直接指引出哪些是當前研究的熱點,哪些是基礎性的理論支柱。但我也擔心,如此深入的專論,會不會讓入門者望之卻步?它更像是給已經在領域內摸爬滾打了一段時間的專業人士準備的「進階秘笈」。如果它能成功地在保持學術深度的同時,設計出一些清晰的脈絡圖或概念地圖,幫助讀者消化這三十年的複雜演變,那它就真稱得上是里程碑式的作品了。總之,這本書散發出來的氣場,就是一股「非此不可」的權威感,讓人不敢輕忽。

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哇,三十年的變革史,這概念本身就讓人肅然起敬。我腦中浮現的畫面是,這本書可能採取了一種「口述歷史」與「文獻分析」相結合的敘事手法。想像一下,那些奠基時代的學者們,當初面對著一片荒蕪的學術疆域,是如何一步步開疆拓土、建立起最初的「CLA」概念。書中或許會穿插著一些當年訪談的片段,描寫他們在實驗室或辦公室裡,面對瓶頸時的掙扎與最終的突破瞬間。這比起純粹的理論陳述,要生動感人得多。而且,「轉型性研究」(Transformative Research)這個詞彙,暗示著這本書所探討的成果,不僅僅是知識的累積,更是對既有認知結構的顛覆。這種顛覆性的力量,通常伴隨著巨大的阻力與爭議。我期待看到作者如何細膩地描繪出這種學術上的「內戰」——那些舊勢力如何抵抗新觀念的湧入,以及最終,新思維是如何憑藉其強大的解釋力與預測能力站穩腳跟的。這樣的敘事,能讓這本書超越教科書的範疇,成為一部關於學術勇氣與智慧的史詩。

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這本書,光是書名《CLA 3.0-THIRTY YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIVE RESEARCH》就充滿了一種時代感和重量感,讓人忍不住想一探究竟。我猜想,這絕不是一本輕鬆閱讀的休閒讀物,它更像是一份厚重的學術回顧錄,或許還帶點某個領域發展軌跡的編年史性質。光是「三十年」這個時間跨度,就足以涵蓋數次重大的學術範式轉移與技術革新。對於長期關注這個領域的同仁來說,這本書可能像是一份珍貴的「田野筆記」,記錄了那些關鍵的轉捩點、那些曾經被視為異端的假說如何一步步成為主流,以及那些奠基性的研究是如何從零到有地建立起如今的知識體系。我特別好奇,書中是如何處理那些「失敗的嘗試」或「被遺忘的路線」的?因為真正的轉型往往不是一條直線,而是充滿了岔路與死胡同。如果這本書能誠實地呈現這些曲折,而不是只聚焦於最終的成功案例,那它的價值就會更高。它不單是知識的總結,更是方法論演進的鏡像,對於後進者而言,簡直就是一份避免重蹈覆轍的無價指南。我期待看到它如何平衡宏觀的趨勢分析與微觀的個案研究,讓讀者能從中體會到「研究」這件事的真實面貌。

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