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　　Since the 21st century, China’s rise has become a fact, and People’s Liberation Army has developed rather quickly. Thusso-called China’s military rise has become the most challenging phenomenon in world politics. Regarding to its army building and readiness many studies have shown that the People’s Liberation Army, in 2020, will form a complete (anti-access/area denial) capabilities, capable enough to turn China into a great military power in Asia-Pacific.
 
　　It will have an impact on the Asia-Pacific regional stability, the cross-strait military balance, and under Untied States re-balance strategy. Under China’s military threat, Taiwan must be innovative in terms of strategic thinking and concept.

作者简介

Ming-Hsien Wong

　　翁明贤教授为德国科隆大学大学政治学系博士。经历如下：淡江大学国际事务与战略研究所所长、国家安全会议谘询委员、台湾战略研究学会理事长、国家安全会议张建邦谘询委员办公室专任研究员、美国国务院Fulbright Scholarship访问学者。

Foreword
Ming-Hsien Wong....................................................................................i
Economic Interdependence and Taiwan’s Economic Security Strategy
Rong-I Wu...............................................................................................1
The Art of Nuclear Renunciation
Yavor A. Kostadinov.............................................................................19
China-Côte d’Ivoire Relations: The Steps Forward
Viviane Bayala......................................................................................55
Economic Integration in East Asia: Implications for Regional Security
Taeho Kim...........................................................................................101
Regional Economic Integration in Asia: Assessing the Danger of Bubbles
And Contagion
David Kleykamp................................................................................. 115
The Changing Landscape of Taiwan-ASEAN Economic Relations: Value
Chain Clustering in ASEAN
Kristy Hsu...........................................................................................147
Trend and Determinants of Pan-Asian Economic Integration: Evidence from
Regional Trade Statistics
Jeet Bahadur Sapkota and Motoko Shuto.......................................167
China’s Economic Statecraft toward Taiwan
Szu-Yin Ho..........................................................................................195
Implications of China’s “One Belt One Road” Initiative on Taiwan in the
Geopolitical Setting
Chih-Chieh Chou................................................................................223
Taiwan’s FTA negotiative strategies after “ANZTEC and ASTEP”
‒An approach of neo-regionalism
Joyce Juo-Yu Lin................................................................................243
Analysis on China’s Economic Integration into Asia
Andrea, Pei-Shan Kao........................................................................267

Economic Interdependence and Taiwan’s Economic Security Strategy
Rong-I Wu
 
I. Preface
 
In the 1980s, the global economy liberalized at a rapid pace, deepening mutual interdependence in the world economy. Not only did international trade in goods grow very fast, the massive capital circulation was even more astounding. Deeper economic interdependence means that the movement of goods or capital among countries leads to mutual influence and mutual impact. This phenomenon of interdependence has both positive and negative repercussions. In other words, economic growth in one country will boost imports and this import growth will lead to greater demand for exports from the country’s trade partners, fueling their economic growth in return. Massive capital movements have an even more serious impact on the financial system. While an influx of foreign funds benefits capital formation, the opposite has a detrimental effect. When goods or money move around rapidly, destabilizing the macroeconomic environment, this affects the economic security of nations around the world. The same goes for overdependence on a specific commodity in international trade such as when crude oil accounts for an excessive share of a country’s exports or when a country over-relies on a single nation for its export markets because it will be vulnerable to economic downturns in the said export market. Similarly, massive capital movements can jeopardize the financial stability of a country or region, if not the entire world.

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